Stock Chart NVDA: Performance and Predictions

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), the undisputed leader in AI and high-performance computing chips, has emerged as one of the most valuable companies globally. For investors, examining the stock chart nvda is crucial to understand its market movements. With a market capitalization exceeding $3.5 trillion in mid-2025 and a significant role in powering generative AI infrastructure, NVDA commands attention from long-term investors, swing traders, and options strategists alike.

This comprehensive analysis covers:

Updated fundamentals and segment performance
Valuation metrics and price forecasts
In-depth technical analysis
Options strategies for NVDA
Macro risks and catalysts

Let’s unpack where NVDA is headed in 2025 and how to position smartly.

NVIDIA Corporation

Sector: Technology

Industry: Semiconductors

Employees: 36000

NVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Compute & Networking segment comprises Data Center computing platforms and end-to-end networking platforms, including Quantum for InfiniBand and Spectrum for Ethernet; NVIDIA DRIVE automated-driving platform and automotive development agreements; Jetson robotics and other embedded platforms; NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software; and DGX Cloud software and services. The Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU or vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications. It also customized agentic solutions designed in collaboration with NVIDIA to accelerate enterprise AI adoption. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. It sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, consumer internet companies, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, and other ecosystem participants. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Fundamental Analysis: Breaking Down NVDA’s Strength

Revenue & Profit Highlights

FY2025 Revenue: $130.5 billion (YoY growth > 80%)
Net Income: $72.9 billion
EPS (Trailing 12 Months): $3.13
P/E Ratio: ~46.7x

Segment Insights

Compute & Networking:

Revenue: $116.2B
Driven by datacenter AI chips (H100, H200), supercomputing, and networking demand from hyperscalers (Meta, Google, AWS)

Gaming:

Revenue: $11.2B
RTX 40 series showing modest growth

Auto & Edge AI:

Emerging revenue stream ($3B+) from self-driving platforms and industrial edge computing

Geographical Revenue Split:

U.S.: $61.3B
China exposure declining due to export controls

Competitive Landscape:

Peers: AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Marvell
NVIDIA dominates AI training (~90% share) but faces increasing competition from custom silicon (Google TPU, AWS Trainium)

Valuation & Price Forecast Scenarios

Current Multiples

P/E (Forward): ~40–45x
PEG Ratio: <1.0 (implies undervaluation relative to growth)
EV/EBITDA: ~30x

DCF Model (Simplified)

Bull Case: $200/share (AI chip growth > 60%, EPS beats to $3.80)
Base Case: $170/share (Inline growth and margin assumptions)
Bear Case: $130/share (Export clampdown, margin compression)

Analyst Consensus (as of Q2 2025)

Average Price Target: $172
Rating: Overweight (20 Buys, 5 Holds, 1 Sell)

Technical Analysis: Charting NVDA’s Trajectory

Daily Chart Overview

Trend: Strong uptrend above 50/100/200 EMA
RSI: Neutral (~58)
MACD: Bullish crossover confirmed

Weekly Chart

Multi-month wedge breakout in April 2025
$150–$155 acting as demand zone
Overhead resistance at $178

Key Patterns

Bull flag formation on 4H chart
Measured target: $190 if confirmed

Seasonality

July–September historically strong due to product cycle updates (GTC Conference effect)

Options Strategies for NVDA Traders

Current IV Overview (Q2 2025)

30-day IV: ~36%
Put Skew: Moderate

Recommended Plays

Covered Call (Long NVDA + Sell 1M $180C)

Collects premium (~$4)
Ideal if NVDA stays below $180

Protective Put (Buy 3M $160P)

Protects long equity on downside
Hedge against macro shocks

Long Call Diagonal

Buy 3M $160C, Sell 1M $180C
Time decay edge + directional bias

Macro & Risk Factors

Tailwinds

AI Boom: Demand from LLMs, inference, enterprise AI
Fiscal incentives: CHIPS Act funding flowing
Strong U.S. consumer & cloud CapEx recovery

Risks

Fed Policy: Interest rate surprises
U.S.–China Tensions: Export ban on high-end chips
Valuation Compression: Growth priced in?

Trade Plan: How to Position in NVDA Now

Entry Zone

Accumulate between $150–$160 on pullbacks

Stop-Loss Level

Below $142 (trendline support)

Upside Targets

Short-term: $178
Mid-term: $190 (Q3 earnings)

Risk-Reward Snapshot

RR Ratio: 3.5+:1 (if entering near $155 with $190 target)

FAQs About Stock Chart NVDA

Q: Is NVDA overvalued at $170+?
A: Based on 2025 growth estimates, PEG < 1 suggests valuation is reasonable for high-growth AI dominance.

Q: Will NVDA stock split again?
A: While no announcement is confirmed, another split is possible if share price approaches $200–$250.

Q: What is NVDA’s dividend yield?
A: ~0.02%, primarily a growth stock — not income-focused.

Q: Can NVDA sustain AI chip leadership?
A: Short-term yes, but long-term pressure may mount from internal chips by hyperscalers.

Stay Long, But Trade Smart

NVIDIA’s AI-fueled momentum and exceptional earnings growth support a bullish outlook for 2025. But elevated valuations and geopolitical risks demand disciplined entries and hedging. For investors and traders alike, NVDA offers compelling upside — with volatility.

Rating: Strong Buy on Pullbacks
Top Strategy: Covered Calls + Accumulation on Support Levels